Last year's thread:
2022 Predictions - for old time sake
How did you do?
My results:
AR/VR
Nope! Apple will announce a headset, but it won't release in 2022 - it'll be MR, so it won't yet have a socially acceptable form factor. Most computing will be done in the phone, and it'll use hand detection and the Watch for gesture controls.
Yes and no Meta will release its Project Cambria headset, an expensive Quest, that offers the same MR stuff as the Apple headset. It will also release a Quest 2 successor at the same Quest 2 price point.
Yes There will be lots of stuff that claim to be part of the metaverse without any actual metaverse, so it'll be another land rush scam, like 2022's NFTs.
CPUs
I don't think so, and yes Someone will announce something that is competitive on most fronts as the M1 at least on paper, however, no physical CPU will be released, and Apple will release the M2.
Super nope The NVidia acquisition will complete, over the UK government's objections.
Gaming
Yes, but just barely The supply shortage will run well into the second half, and possibly impact the holiday season again
Yup This will mean yet another year of cross-generation titles, with a few current-gen only standouts
Yup Sony's Game Pass will not provide a compelling value prop
Yup Game Pass will continue to suck a ton of oxygen out of the room, since outside of a few blockbuster titles, there's always something good enough to play in GP
Nope Feral Interactive will be acquired, and transition away from porting work.
Microsoft
Ha, nope MSFT market cap will finish the year higher than AAPL's market cap
In flight MS will acquire at least 5 gaming studios
Nope One of them will be Valve (longshot)
Nope Another will be Sega
Yup Azure growth will continue, but slow down further
Nope, just refreshes There will be at least 1 new Surface device
Nope There will be at least 1 new device in the Xbox umbrella, but not a console
Yup! The whole Microsoft Adaptive line There will be another a11y product released, somewhere in scope bigger than the sticker pack, but smaller than the controller
2022 Predictions - for old time sake
How did you do?
My results:
AR/VR
Nope! Apple will announce a headset, but it won't release in 2022 - it'll be MR, so it won't yet have a socially acceptable form factor. Most computing will be done in the phone, and it'll use hand detection and the Watch for gesture controls.
Yes and no Meta will release its Project Cambria headset, an expensive Quest, that offers the same MR stuff as the Apple headset. It will also release a Quest 2 successor at the same Quest 2 price point.
Yes There will be lots of stuff that claim to be part of the metaverse without any actual metaverse, so it'll be another land rush scam, like 2022's NFTs.
CPUs
I don't think so, and yes Someone will announce something that is competitive on most fronts as the M1 at least on paper, however, no physical CPU will be released, and Apple will release the M2.
Super nope The NVidia acquisition will complete, over the UK government's objections.
Gaming
Yes, but just barely The supply shortage will run well into the second half, and possibly impact the holiday season again
Yup This will mean yet another year of cross-generation titles, with a few current-gen only standouts
Yup Sony's Game Pass will not provide a compelling value prop
Yup Game Pass will continue to suck a ton of oxygen out of the room, since outside of a few blockbuster titles, there's always something good enough to play in GP
Nope Feral Interactive will be acquired, and transition away from porting work.
Microsoft
Ha, nope MSFT market cap will finish the year higher than AAPL's market cap
In flight MS will acquire at least 5 gaming studios
Nope One of them will be Valve (longshot)
Nope Another will be Sega
Yup Azure growth will continue, but slow down further
Nope, just refreshes There will be at least 1 new Surface device
Nope There will be at least 1 new device in the Xbox umbrella, but not a console
Yup! The whole Microsoft Adaptive line There will be another a11y product released, somewhere in scope bigger than the sticker pack, but smaller than the controller